Polling Survey on The Upcoming Referendum on The Independence of Kurdistan

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This opinion poll focuses on the upcoming referendum on the independence of Kurdistan. It was conducted between the 21st to the 27th of August 2017, through phone interviews and face to face interviews in Iraqi Kurdistan.

The following provinces were covered: Arbil, Sulaymaniyah, Duhok, Halabja, Kirkuk and Diyala – in Diyala province, only the following cities were covered: Khanagin, Jalawla and Mandali.

Overall, the results indicate a win for the ‘yes’ vote:

• YES: 52.9%

• NO: 25.6%

• UNDECIDED: 17.9%

• NOT VOTING: 3.6%

However, most people who responded as ‘undecided’ expressed a likelihood to vote ‘yes’ but they also indicated that they were monitoring the political situation closely, in case it deteriorated too much.

The polling survey also indicates that the majority of those voting ‘no’ or ‘undecided’ were from the younger electorate.

Finally, the overwhelming majority of the electorate declared that they wanted to see an independent Kurdistan but were unsure if the motives behind the referendum were appropriate at this moment, indicating a degree of encouraging political maturity amongst the electorate.